Saturday's Blues/Avalanche game is do or die; winner clinches the final playoff spot in the West. Before that game, the Blues head to Chicago against the Blackhawks tomorrow. Colorado leads St. Louis by one point, the Blues are 3-1-0 against the Avs this season, and the two teams are even in ROWs (Regulation/Overtime Wins) with 40. So the Blues/Blackhawks game could determine how much leeway is allowed for us in Saturday's game. Now, Colorado has to win to get in the playoffs, however:
If STL loses in regulation tomorrow, Saturday's game can go to OT, because it would be 94-93 COL. COL would still have to win and do so in the OT period, because a STL win in OT would make it 94-94, but 41-40 in the ROW column in STL's favor. Even a STL SOW (Shootout Win) wouldn't help COL, because while the points and ROWs would be even, head-to-head favors STL.
If STL loses in OT/SO tomorrow, Saturday's game can go to OT, because it would be 93-93 after the OT/SO loss, and OT in Saturday's game would be 94-94. Winner would get the extra point and the playoff spot.
If STL wins via SO tomorrow, even then, Saturday's game can go to OT. Though a SOW would make it 94-93 STL, and OT on Saturday would make it 95-94 STL, COL would still get in the playoffs if we score in OT and win, because it would be 95-95, but 41-40 in the ROW column in our favor, and ROWs supercede head-to-head.
However, if STL gets a ROW tomorrow, then OT on Saturday is not an option. Not only would a ROW make it 94-93 STL, but it would also make it 41-40 in the ROW column in STL's favor. This means that if OT happens on Saturday, it would be 95-94 STL, which would eliminate COL even if we win in OT, because it would be 95-95 in points and 41-41 in ROWs, but the head-to-head would oust us. COL would have to win in regulation.
Those are the scenarios facing Saturday's do or die contest.
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